How to compare energy tariffs: five checks before you fix
The price cap rose on 1 October 2026. Whether a fixed deal is worth it depends on your usage and your appetite for guessing, not on the headlines. Here are Ofgem's numbers, a simple rule of thumb, the five things to check, and the free help to claim before you think about tariffs at all.
By Tom Calder · Published 22 September 2026 · Updated 9 October 2026 · Sourced to Ofgem

£1,723 a year for a typical dual-fuel household paying by Direct Debit, £60, or 4 per cent more than the £1,663 that applied from July. Average Direct Debit rates: electricity 26.32p per kWh with a 54.83p a day standing charge; gas 7.97p per kWh with a 29.68p a day standing charge. Announced 26 August 2026; the cap runs to 31 December 2026. Almost all of the rise is gas, up 8 per cent: VAT comes off domestic electricity from October, so Ofgem says electricity bills stay broadly stable and a home with no gas sees under 1 per cent. Use more than "typical" and you pay more.
The rule of thumb
We don't give personal financial advice, and nobody knows what the cap will do in January. A simple test is this: a fix is only worth considering if it is priced at or below the cap you are on now, and only if you would be comfortable losing out should prices fall while you are locked in. MoneySavingExpert's fixed-deal guide (updated 8 October 2026) goes further: it compares a fix with what the cap is expected to do over the next year, not just with today's level, and warns that a fix that looks decent now could cost more if prices drop. Those expectations are forecasts until Ofgem announces the real figure, by 25 November 2026.
The number of fixed deals that beat the cap changes day by day as suppliers pull and launch tariffs, which is why different articles quote different counts. What matters is whether one beats it for your usage on the day you look. For scale, MoneySavingExpert's fixed-deal guide, correct as of 8 October 2026, lists two standalone fixes below the October cap (about 3 per cent and 1.2 per cent below, for typical use paid by Direct Debit, both with exit fees); it gives no count for the whole market.
Five things to check before you switch
- 1
Compare unit rates, not the headline
The cap limits the price of each unit and the daily standing charge, not your bill. A fixed deal is compared the same way: its unit rates and standing charges against the cap's, for your fuel and your payment method.
- 2
Price it against the cap you are on, not the forecast
A fix priced below today's cap is a real saving today. Whether it beats January depends on a forecast, and forecasts differ widely. Ofgem announces the real January cap by 25 November 2026.
- 3
Check the exit fee
Most fixes charge a fee per fuel to leave early. If prices fall and you want out, that fee is the cost of having guessed wrong. Some fixes have none; that flexibility is worth something.
- 4
Look at the standing charge separately
A tariff with a low unit rate and a high standing charge suits a high-use household and punishes a low-use one. If you use little energy, the standing charge is most of your bill.
- 5
Take a meter reading when you switch
Unless you have a working smart meter, send a reading on the day the new tariff starts, and photograph it. It stops the old supplier estimating your last weeks at the wrong rate.
Before you fix anything: claim what you are owed
For the households that qualify, the support schemes are worth more than any tariff decision. The Warm Home Discount takes £150 off an electricity bill. The Winter Fuel Payment is £100 to £300 depending on age and household. Cold Weather Payments are £25 for each seven-day freezing spell between November and March, paid automatically to people on qualifying benefits. The Priority Services Register is free and gets you extra help if anyone at home is older, disabled or unwell.
Common questions
Should I fix my energy tariff this winter?
Nobody knows what the cap will do, and we don't give personal financial advice. A simple test is that a fix is only worth considering if it is priced at or below the current cap, and only if you are comfortable losing out should prices fall. MoneySavingExpert's fixed-deal guide (updated 8 October 2026) goes further and compares a fix with what the cap is expected to do over the next year. Check exit fees before signing.
What is the energy price cap from 1 October 2026?
Ofgem's cap for 1 October to 31 December 2026 is £1,723 a year for a typical household paying by Direct Debit for gas and electricity, up £60 (4 per cent) on the July to September cap of £1,663. It caps unit rates and standing charges, not bills: use more than typical and you pay more.
How do I compare energy tariffs for free?
Citizens Advice publishes free guidance on switching and what to check. Comparison sites are free to use and show the whole market; they are paid by suppliers when you switch through them, which is also how we may be paid if you use our link. Compare unit rates and standing charges for your own usage.
Will the price cap rise again in January 2027?
Forecasts say so but disagree on how much. Cornwall Insight put January at £1,999 on 30 September 2026, 16 per cent up; British Gas's forecast was £2,080 on 1 October, EDF's £2,083 in its table dated 7 October, and E.ON Next's £2,088 as of 5 October, about 21 per cent up. Ofgem announces the real figure by 25 November 2026, and our January 2027 price cap guide keeps every forecast dated.
Is it better to stay on the price cap?
The cap is a ceiling, not a deal: a standard variable tariff at the cap moves every three months. Staying put is the right call if no fix beats the cap for your usage, or if you would rather keep the freedom to leave without a fee.
Sources: Ofgem, price cap announcement (26 August 2026) · Ofgem, unit rates and standing charges · Cornwall Insight forecast (30 September 2026) · Citizens Advice, switching energy supplier. This is general information, not financial advice. PreparedBritain is independent and not affiliated with HM Government or Ofgem.
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